2020-03-23 COVID-19 Update

United States Data

Here is today's update regarding the spread of COVID-19 in the United States.

• US Confirmed Cases: 37,463
• US Confirmed Deaths: 468
• US Death Rate: 1.25%

The five-day moving average of the doubling period has lengthened slightly to 2.1 days. Based on today's number of confirmed cases and the current doubling period, here are today's projections if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:

• 50,000 Cases: March 24 (tomorrow)
• 100,000 Cases: March 26 (three days from now)
• 1,000,000 Cases: April 1 (about ten days from now)
• 10,000,000 Cases: April 7 (about two weeks from now) 

 Global Data

• Global Confirmed Cases: 354,677
• Global Confirmed Recovered: 100,462 (29%)
• Global Confirmed Deaths: 15,436
• Global Death Rate: 4.35%

The global data continues to exhibit some unwanted trends. First, the five-day moving average for the global doubling period is going down and stands at 6.5 days. This means, globally, confirmed cases are doubling more quickly. Second, the death rate continues to rise, from 3.8% a week ago to 4.4% today.

Based on today's cases and the current doubling period, here are the projections for the world if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:

• 500,000 Cases: March 27 (five days from now)
• 1,000,000 Cases: April 3 (about two weeks from now)
• 10,000,000 Cases:  April 24 (about five weeks from now)
• 100,000,000 Cases: May 18 (about eight weeks from now)

Positive & Useful News

In an effort to provide some relief from the endless stream of scary news about COVID-19, these daily updates will include links to any available positive or constructive news related to this disease. Here are today's links:

Treatments and Vaccine

• Israel’s Teva donating potential COVID-19 treatment to US hospitals
• WHO launches global megatrial of the four most promising coronavirus treatments 
• Regeneron moves forward with two drugs against COVID-19 
• Morderna Prepares to Scale Coronavirus Vaccine to Millions
• Winnipeg biotech company says COVID-19 treatment nearing production 
• In Bid for Coronavirus Vaccine, U.S. Eases Access to Supercomputers
• Coronavirus Treatment: Losartan Might Help Us Combat COVID-19 Symptoms 
• Coronavirus Treatment: French researcher reports successful drug trial
• New York To Test Hydroxychloroquine Treatment For Coronavirus 
• Remdesivir, Hydroxychloroquine Are Being Used to Treat COVID-19 Patients: CDC 
• These Drugs Are Helping Our Coronavirus Patients - WSJ

Testing

• Widespread testing may have wiped out coronavirus in Italian village
• Increase In Availability Of Coronavirus Tests : NPR 
• America is finally testing for coronavirus in significant volumes | Ars Technica

Masks and Protective Equipment for Healthcare Workers

• 3M says shipments of N95 masks to New York, Seattle will begin arriving Monday
• Artists Are Rallying to Donate Their Masks and Other Protective Gear to Hospitals Facing Shortages Around the US
• 3M Ships more than half-million N95 masks to New York and Seattle as it cranks up production
• Project N95 Launches To Battle 2020 Shortage Of N95 Masks During Coronavirus Outbreak 
• Honeywell to expand N95 mask production for coronavirus fight - Axios
• Mask by mask, scores answer call for gear for health care workers
• Harbor Freight to donate N95 masks, face shields to hospital workers
• Community Members Make Masks Due to Shortage at Local Hospitals 
• Stolen N95 masks found, given to Oregon hospitals
• More than 130 Australian companies ready to boost PPE stock of coronavirus masks, gowns and gloves

Data Sources

• Tracking coronavirus: Map, data and timeline - BNO News
• Cases in U.S. | CDC
• COVID-19 Real Time Updates With Credible Sources | 1Point3Acres 
• Coronavirus COVID-19 (2019-nCoV) - Johns Hopkins