2020-03-16 COVID-19 Update

US Numbers and Projections

Here are today's numbers and projections for the United States:

• US Confirmed Cases: 3,957
• US Confirmed Deaths: 69
• US Death Rate: 1.73%

The five-day moving average of the doubling period has lengthened slightly to 2.6 days. Based on today's date, number of confirmed cases, and the current doubling period, here are today's projections:

• 10,000 Cases: March 19 (three days from now)
• 100,000 Cases: March 28 (twelve days from now)
• 1,000,000 Cases: April 5 (about three weeks from now)

The death rate in the United States continues to fall, which is to be expected if more and more mild cases are being detected via testing.

News Items – Containment and Cure

The following recent news accounts address two major topics: efforts to contain the virus and efforts to produce a vaccine or treatment for the disease. 

States order bars and restaurants to close due to coronavirus
Coronavirus: Spain set to declare national lockdown
Google says it is developing a nationwide coronavirus website

Israeli scientists: 'In a few weeks, we will have coronavirus vaccine'
Coronavirus vaccine development: Where does it stand?
Government official: Coronavirus vaccine trial starts Monday