Sunday, March 29, 2020

2020-03-29 COVID-19 Update



Here are updated numbers and projections for the COVID-19 pandemic.

United States Data πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

Here is today's update regarding the spread of COVID-19 in the United States.
  • US Confirmed Cases: 131,420 
  • US Confirmed Deaths: 2,324
  • US Death Rate: 1.77%
The five-day moving average of the doubling period lengthened to 3.2 days. The US death rate has risen for the fifth day in a row to 1.77%. The number of new confirmed cases exceeded 20,000 for the first time ever.

Based on today's number of confirmed cases and the current doubling period, here are today's projections if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:
  • 500,000 Cases: April 4 (six days from now)
  • 1,000,000 Cases: April 7 (about ten days from now)
  • 10,000,000 Cases: April 18 (about three weeks from now) 




NOTE: You can click either chart above to see a larger version.

 Global Data 🌍

  • Global Confirmed Cases: 702,795
  • Global Confirmed Recovered: 153,395 (22%)
  • Global Confirmed Deaths: 33,088
  • Global Death Rate: 4.7%
The five-day moving average for the global doubling period remained steady at 5.8 days. The global death rate continued to increase to 4.7%.

Based on today's cases and the current doubling period, here are the projections for the world if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:
  • 1,000,000 Cases: April 2  (four days from today)
  • 10,000,000 Cases: April 21  (about three weeks from today)
  • 100,000,000 Cases: May 10  (about six weeks away)

Georgia Data πŸ‘

These daily updates include data and projections for the state of Georgia because that is where a large number of my family and friends live.
  • Georgia Confirmed Cases: 2,651
  • Georgia Cases Currently Hospitalized: 666 (25%)
  • Georgia Confirmed Deaths: 80
  • Georgia Death Rate: 3.0%
The five-day moving average of the doubling period for Georgia lengthened again to 3.7 days. Based on today's number of confirmed cases and the current doubling period, here are today's projections if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:

  • 10,000 Cases: April 5 (about a week from now)
  • 100,000 Cases: April 17 (three weeks from now)
  • 1,000,000 Cases: April 30 (about five weeks from now)




Positive & Useful News

In an effort to provide some relief from the endless stream of scary news about COVID-19, these daily updates will include links to any available positive or constructive news related to this disease. Here are today's links:

Treatments and Vaccine

Testing

Medical and Protective Equipment for Healthcare Workers

Data Sources

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