2020-04-06 COVID-19 Update

Here are updated numbers and projections for the COVID-19 pandemic.

United States Data 🇺🇸

Here is today's update regarding the spread of COVID-19 in the United States.

US Confirmed Cases: 341,410
US Confirmed Deaths: 9,974
US Death Rate: 2.9%

Bad News: The overall US death rate rose again to 2.9%. Good News: Both the number of new confirmed cases and new confirmed deaths dropped compared to yesterday. The number of new confirmed daily deaths dropped below 1,000 for the first time in six days. The five-day moving average of the cumulative case doubling period lengthened again to 6.7 days. This is an early indication that the curve may be starting to flatten out.

Based on today's number of confirmed cases and the current doubling period, here are today's projections if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:

April 12 – 682,819 cases
April 19 – 1.4 million cases
April 26 – 2.7 million cases
May 2 – 5.5 million cases

The five-day moving average of the doubling period for deaths in the United States has lengthened to 4.3 days. Based on today's cumulative number of confirmed deaths and the current doubling period, here are today's projections if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:

April 10 – 19,947 deaths
April 14 – 39,894 deaths
April 18 – 79,788 deaths
April 23 – 159,576 deaths

NOTE: You can click any chart above to see a larger version.

Global Data 🌍

Global Confirmed Cases: 1,291,474
Global Confirmed Recovered: 119,918
Global Confirmed Deaths: 70,657
Global Death Rate: 5.5%

Good News: The global death rate remained stable at 5.5%. The five-day moving average for the global doubling period lengthened again to 10.3 days.

Based on today's cases and the current doubling period, here are the projections for the world if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:

April 16 – 2.6 million cases
April 26 – 5.2 million cases
May 6 – 10.3 million cases
May 17 – 20.7 million cases

Georgia Data 🍑

These daily updates include data and projections for the state of Georgia because that is where a large number of my family and friends live.

Georgia Confirmed Cases: 7,314
Georgia Cases Currently Hospitalized: 1,332 (18.2%)
Georgia Confirmed Deaths: 229
Georgia Death Rate: 3.1%

Bad News: The Georgia death rate remains higher than the national average. The number of new confirmed cases has increased for two days in a row. Good News: The overall death rate in Georgia decreased to 3.1%. The five-day moving average of the doubling period for Georgia lengthened again to 8.1 days.

Based on today's number of confirmed cases and the current doubling period, here are today's projections if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:

April 14 – 14,628 cases
April 22 – 29,256 cases
April 30 – 58,512 cases
May 8 – 117,024 cases

Positive & Useful News

In an effort to provide some relief from the endless stream of scary news about COVID-19, these daily updates will include links to any available positive or constructive news related to this disease. Here are today's links:

LeeCo Blog – Lee Edwin Coursey

Monday, April 6, 2020