2020-04-08 COVID-19 Update

United States Data 🇺🇸

Here is today's update regarding the spread of COVID-19 in the United States.

US Confirmed Cases: 404,697
US Confirmed Deaths: 13,372
US Death Rate: 3.3%

Bad News: The overall US death rate rose again to 3.3%. The number of new daily deaths was another record high (about 1,900.) The number of new daily cases exceeded 20,000. Good News: The five-day moving average of the cumulative case doubling period lengthened again to 7.8 days.

Based on today's number of confirmed cases and the current doubling period, here are today's projections if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:

April 15 – 809,393 cases
April 23 – 1.6 million cases
May 1 – 3.2 million cases
May 9 – 6.5 million cases

The five-day moving average of the doubling period for deaths in the United States has lengthened to 4.8 days. Based on today's cumulative number of confirmed deaths and the current doubling period, here are today's projections if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:

April 12 – 27,000 deaths
April 17 – 53,000 deaths
April 22 – 107,000 deaths
April 27 – 214,000 deaths

NOTE: You can click any chart above to see a larger version.

Global Data 🌍

Global Confirmed Cases: 1,469,041
Global Confirmed Recovered: 141,984
Global Confirmed Deaths: 86,083
Global Death Rate: 5.9%

Bad News: The global death rate rose again to 5.9%. Good News: The five-day moving average for the global doubling period lengthened again to 10.9 days.

Based on today's cases and the current doubling period, here are the projections for the world if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:

April 18 – 2.9 million cases
April 29 – 5.9 million cases
May 10 – 11.8 million cases
May 21 – 23.5 million cases

Georgia Data 🍑

These daily updates include data and projections for the state of Georgia because that is where a large number of my family and friends live.

Georgia Confirmed Cases: 9,901
Georgia Cases Currently Hospitalized: 1,993 (20.1%)
Georgia Confirmed Deaths: 362
Georgia Death Rate: 3.7%

Bad News: The Georgia death rate remains higher than the national average. Good News: The overall death rate in Georgia remained stable at 3.7%. The five-day moving average of the doubling period for Georgia remained constant at 7.5 days.

Based on today's data and the current doubling periods for confirmed cases (7.5 days) and deaths (7.7 days), here are today's projections if nothing changes and the doubling period remains constant:

April 15 – 20,000 cases
April 22 – 40,000 cases
April 30 – 79,000 cases
May 7 – 158,000 cases

April 15 – 700 deaths
April 23 – 1,400 deaths
May 1 – 2,900 deaths
May 8 – 5,800 deaths

Positive & Useful News

In an effort to provide some relief from the endless stream of scary news about COVID-19, these daily updates will include links to any available positive or constructive news related to this disease. Here are today's links:

LeeCo Blog – Lee Edwin Coursey

Wednesday, April 8, 2020